Winners Don't Quit

6/21/2010


Stock market wearing you out? You’re not the only one.

We at the Forecasts are not just stock analysts. We’re also investors, and we get knocked around just like you do when the market hits a rough patch. But investors who win — that is, achieve their long-term financial goals — do so by staying the course, even when the road gets bumpy.

As singer Harry Chapin once crooned, “It’s got to be the going, not the getting there, that’s good.”

Chapin was referring to bus travel, but the same is true for the stock market. The last few months have been harrowing, as the S&P 500 Index has dipped 9% from April highs with plenty of volatility along the way.

Still, history suggests that such periods often bring opportunities — and that a disciplined, relentless search for the best-positioned stocks can put the odds in your favor. Since 2003, our Focus List is up 63.8%, with the Buy List up 91.6% and the Long-Term Buy List up 41.9%, versus 26.7% for the S&P 500. Those returns reflect fully-invested portfolios.

We’re not going to beat the market every year. And when we outperform in difficult markets, the returns don’t always feel good in the near term. But our long-term performance suggests that you should be rewarded if you stay the course.

Nobody knows what the stock market will do in the second half of the year. But we believe our buy lists are positioned to outperform regardless of the market’s action. See Capital-Gains Favorites and Portfolio Review for changes to our buy lists.


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